Record Heat Streak Ends; "Think Before You Post"; + Multiple (X-Flare) CMEs Inbound
The UK: an Orwellian shoulder-glancing hellscape where everyone is both a suspect and an enforcer.
Record Heat Streak Ends
According to the European climate agency Copernicus, the 13-month streak of record-breaking global temperatures ended this July as the natural El Niño climate phenomenon began to subside.
Copernicus calculates its global average temperature using observations and climate models. It produces reanalysis datasets, filling in gaps where direct observations are lacking (which is a substantial portion of the planet, I might add). The Earth's surface is gridded, and temperatures are averaged within each grid cell, then combined with area-weighted calculations to determine the global average.
In a copied-and-pasted article doing in the mainstream rounds, scientists are warning that this recent dip in temperatures does not reduce the threat of climate change.
"The broader context remains unchanged," said Samantha Burgess, Copernicus' deputy director. "Our climate continues to warm."
As per the article, human-caused climate change is continuing to drive extreme weather events worldwide. In support of this contention, a few cherry-picked and entirely unprecedented events are offered up, including the flooding in Cape Town, South Africa; the landslide on Indonesia’s Sulawesi island; and Hurricane Beryl.
July's global average temperature was 0.68C (1.2F) above the 30-year average, according to Copernicus, and 1.48C (2.7F) above pre-industrial levels, nearing the 1.5C 'threshold of doom' set by the 2015 Paris Agreement.
The El Niño phenomenon had fueled the 13-month heat streak, explained Copernicus climate scientist Julien Nicolas, and its weakening led to July's temperature dip. But "the global situation hasn't significantly changed from last year," he added
Prince of the hustlers Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, chimes in: "Things will keep getting worse because we haven't stopped the activities causing the problem," he said, "regardless of whether July sets new records."
The article concludes with some pretty direct messaging: We shouldn't take any comfort in this temperature decrease, because heat record or not, "[global broiling] won’t end just because the streak has," warned Nicolas.
These so-called experts have admitted that a natural forcing (El Niño) fueled the heat streak, and that its subsiding has caused July's dip. Yet Schmidt in particular is vehemently against the idea of natural phenomena affecting the climate, dismissing the biggest elephant in the room, the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai volcanic eruption. Schmidt claims, without evidence, that the additional 150 million+ tons of water vapor it injected into the stratosphere cannot be responsible for the recent warming spike.
There are scientists however, such as Javier Vinós, that believe Tonga–Hunga is a key player.
"Because the Tonga eruption is unprecedented, there is much about its effects that we do not understand,” writes Vinós. "But we do know that the planetary greenhouse effect is very sensitive to changes in stratospheric water vapor because, unlike the troposphere, the stratosphere is very dry and far from greenhouse saturation."
"We have an absolutely unprecedented volcanic eruption, the effects of which we cannot know, but which, according to what we know about the greenhouse effect, should cause significant and abrupt warming," Vinós concludes.
But logic doesn’t sell anywhere near as well as emotive storytelling…
"Think Before You Post"
The UK government's latest campaign, as showcased in the X post below urging citizens to "Think before you post," is a chilling reminder of the state’s increasing clampdown on free expression.
Cloaked in the rhetoric of preventing harm, this warning from the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) that "content that incites violence or hatred isn’t just harmful—it can be illegal" reeks of a draconian overreach into the lives of citizens.
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